While chances of negative returns were 25% for 1-year period, the probability is nil in 5 years.

The latest industry data released by CRISIL and AMFI shows that the chances of getting negative returns from investments in mutual funds through SIP route diminishes to nil from fifth year onwards.

The report has taken the past 15 year data ending on June 2019. According to the report, the instances of negative returns declined with the increase in investment horizon.

While the instances of getting negative returns were 25% if holding period is up to 1 year as on June 2019, such probability reduces to 17% and 8% for 2 year and 3 year SIPs respectively. Further, chances of getting negative returns reduces to 5% if holding period is 4 years. From fifth year onwards, there was zero percent chance of getting negative returns from SIPs, said the report.

Instances of negative returns decreased with increase in SIP tenure.

Interestingly, the difference between minimum and maximum SIP returns narrowed with the increase in the investment horizon, found the report. This essentially indicates that SIP investors would see a growth in their investments irrespective of fund selection.

The report further claimed that investing through SIPs for longer tenures significantly increases the amount of wealth invested. “An  analysis  of  various  equity  categories  shows  that  returns  and  the  subsequent  wealth  creation  for  investors  improve  in  line  with  the  increase  in  the  investment  horizon. Finance theory calls this the compounding effect, which says that longer periods of time allow your money to multiply,” said the report.

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